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The Form Line / The speed figure
The figure ยท part three

How a speed figure is computed

A speed figure is the only figure on a card that starts from a measurement rather than a judgement: a time. What is done with the time is where the figures diverge, because the corrections applied to it are chosen by whoever publishes it.

Sample spec
Sample standard time (6f)
70.00 s
Going allowance
+0.32 s a furlong
Adjusted standard
71.92 s
Scale
10 points a second
the stringThe finishing position of the last six runs, newest first. On the samples it carries 48 of 48 positions and 0 of 48 margins, distances, grounds or field sizes.
the markThe official rating, set so a field of similar marks finishes close together on paper. On the samples it moved on four of six runs, for a net change of 8 lb.
the allowanceThe correction applied to a standard time for the ground. On the samples the going allowance is worth 19.2 points at six furlongs, against 2.4 points for the whole weight spread.
Direct answerA speed figure compares a run's time with a standard time for the same distance, adds an allowance for how slow the ground was, credits the weight carried, and scales the result onto a points system. Four inputs, and only one of them - the time - is a measurement. The standard time, the ground allowance and the scale are chosen by the publisher, so two figures for the same run can differ while both being computed correctly.

Sample C is one invented 6f race. It is used across this desk because it shows which input dominates: the ground correction moves the figures further than every other input put together.

The four inputs, one at a time

Sample C - the four inputs and where each one comes from
InputValue in the sampleWhere it comes fromMeasured or chosen?
the time71.40 sthe racemeasured
standard time, 6f70.00 sthe publisher's tableschosen
going allowance+0.32 s a furlongthe publisher, from the meeting's timeschosen
the scale10 points a secondthe publisherchosen
Four inputsone measurementthree publisher's decisions1 of 4
Sample C - three runners, the same race, the whole arithmeticstandard time 70.00 s, allowance +0.32 s a furlong, 6 furlongs 6 x 0.32 = 1.92, so adjusted standard = 71.92 s scale: figure = 80 + (adjusted standard - time) x 10, then the weight credit winner ran 71.40 71.92 - 71.40 = 0.52 s under 80 + 5.2 = 85.2 carried 9-02, 2 lb over 9-00, credit 2 x 0.2 = +0.4 figure 85.6 second ran 71.70 71.92 - 71.70 = 0.22 s under 80 + 2.2 = 82.2 carried 8-13, 1 lb under 9-00, credit -0.2 figure 82.0 third ran 72.00 71.92 - 72.00 = 0.08 s over 80 - 0.8 = 79.2 carried 8-11, 3 lb under 9-00, credit -0.6 figure 78.6 what each input was worth across the three runners the going allowance 19.2 points, on every one of them the weight carried 0.6 points at most the gap first to third 7.0 points

The going allowance is more than twice the whole spread of the field. That is a statement about the sample's own scale and its own allowance, and it is the reason the allowance is the first thing to look for on any figure that was computed from a time. A publisher who uses a smaller allowance will produce the same ranking and a different set of numbers.

The scale is a choice, and it changes the gaps

Sample C's scale is ten points a second, with 80 as the base for a run exactly on the adjusted standard. Change the scale and every gap between runners changes with it, while the order stays the same. The sample's own runners separate by 7.0 points on this scale; the same race on a scale of five points a second would separate them by 3.5, and on twenty by 14.0. A figure quoted without its scale is a ranking in disguise.

The number that is missing. In sample G, 40 invented cards were read for what they print. The form string is on 40 of 40 and the weights are on 40 of 40. A third-party speed figure is on 12 of 40. The standard time is on 0 of 40 and the going allowance is on 0 of 40. The figure built from those two inputs is published four times more often than the inputs themselves.

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